Trencin 4-1 FK Kosice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 22% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Kosice EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.63
+12% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
22.3 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
1W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Kosice
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
381 Passes 130
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 FK Kosice FK Kosice 0-3 HT 0-2 Trencin Trencin SLVK
25.09.2019 FK Kosice FK Kosice 2-2 HT 1-0 Trencin Trencin SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
4-1
AWAY FK Kosice
2.83 xG 0.40
72% Ball Possession 28%
31 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
552 Passes 157
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
48 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trencin vs FK Kosice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin swept aside FK Kosice 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trencin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trencin had 72% of the ball to FK Kosice's 28%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 2.83 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trencin had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trencin and 1.00 for FK Kosice.

What was the final score of Trencin vs FK Kosice?

Trencin 4-1 FK Kosice in the Slovakia Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs FK Kosice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trencin 54%, draw 28%, FK Kosice 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trencin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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