Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
No
67%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-8.6pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 12%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.45
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Ben Arous
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Msaken
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.01.2023 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 HT 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
POST-MATCH Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous and Msaken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sporting Ben Arous at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken?

Sporting Ben Arous 1-1 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Ben Arous vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Ben Arous win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sporting Ben Arous 64%, draw 17%, Msaken 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Ben Arous) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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