Wrexham 1-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.47
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.51
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.95
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.29/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.06
-83% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 12.7
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.26 xG 1.73
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
152 Passes 445
60% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.18 xG 0.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
279 Passes 451
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham squeezed past Bolton Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wrexham had 41% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.18 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Bolton Wanderers?

Wrexham 1-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 36%, draw 29%, Bolton Wanderers 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5
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