Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-3 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-4.6pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 59%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.53
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +144%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin got the better of Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Trefelin?

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1-3 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Penrhiwceiber Rangers 18%, draw 33%, Trefelin 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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