Bjelovar 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
6.26
Away Pick
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.89
Over
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dinamo Zagreb win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
6%
+11.8pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.2pp
62%
Away Win
81%
-18.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bjelovar The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb The Market 85%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.40/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.36/0.55
-37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -1%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
203 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 512 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bjelovar
2-3
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bjelovar vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb squeezed past Bjelovar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Bjelovar had 34% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 66%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Bjelovar vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Bjelovar 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bjelovar vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bjelovar 18%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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