Armagh City 1-1 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.29
Over 2.5
70%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.55
No
33%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
7.37
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
40%
-10.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
60%
+10.0pp
67%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.4pp
33%
BTTS No
40%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 55%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.26/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.75
+83% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +67%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Limavady United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 2-2 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
07.09.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 3-0 HT 2-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City and Limavady United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Limavady United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Armagh City and 2.50 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Limavady United?

Armagh City 1-1 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 29%, draw 25%, Limavady United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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