Abha 1-3 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.80/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.35
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 0-1 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
1-3
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah got the better of Abha 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Bukayriyah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Abha had 57% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Bukayriyah?

Abha 1-3 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Abha 40%, draw 28%, Al Bukayriyah 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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