Vipers 2-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 11 Feb 2025

Vipers
2-0 HT 0-0
URA
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.8pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.86
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +46%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY URA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 URA URA 0-2 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
12.04.2022 URA URA 0-3 HT 0-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
27.11.2021 Vipers Vipers 0-2 HT 0-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
2-0
AWAY URA
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vipers vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers got the better of URA 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Vipers had 61% of the ball to URA's 39%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vipers and 0.67 for URA.

What was the final score of Vipers vs URA?

Vipers 2-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vipers 49%, draw 27%, URA 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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