Arkadag 0-1 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.16
1/2
13%
24.0
1/X
8%
17.95
X/1
9%
10.8
X/2
20%
4.01
X/X
8%
5.32
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.04
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arkadag EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arkadag
0-1
AWAY Al Nassr
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Arkadag vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr squeezed past Arkadag 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arkadag had 37% of the ball to Al Nassr's 63%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Arkadag vs Al Nassr?

Arkadag 0-1 Al Nassr in the AFCŞL2 on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arkadag vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arkadag 22%, draw 23%, Al Nassr 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFCŞL2 More AFCŞL2
11 Feb 2026
15:15 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Tampines Rovers Analysis →
15:15 Ratchaburi vs Persib Bandung Analysis →
19:00 Sepahan vs Al Ahli Analysis →