Cucuta Deportivo 1-3 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Feb 2026

Cucuta Deportivo
1-3 HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2026

Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.95
Over
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.67
No
50%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Cucuta Deportivo v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cucuta Deportivo The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin The Market 50%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
0.94/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.12
+29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.6 Crosses 14.8
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cucuta Deportivo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.19 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
243 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-2 HT 0-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOLK
29.09.2023 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOLK
09.10.2020 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-1 HT 0-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
11.10.2019 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 0-0 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
29.03.2019 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
13.09.2015 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-1 HT 3-0 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL

Cucuta Deportivo 1-3 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cucuta Deportivo
1-3
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.43 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
325 Passes 405
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Medellin saw off Cucuta Deportivo 3-1 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.78 (~56%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Cucuta Deportivo had 46% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 54%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.43 to 0.98 — on chances, Cucuta Deportivo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cucuta Deportivo and 2.50 for Independiente Medellin.

Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score

Cucuta Deportivo 1-3 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cucuta Deportivo 24%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5
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