Rio Ave U23 2-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Feb 2026

Rio Ave U23
2-1 HT 0-0
Estrela U23
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

Rio Ave U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rio Ave U23 v Estrela U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.77/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/1.00
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Estrela U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 44%, draw 23%, Estrela U23 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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