Metalul Buzau 1-0 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metalul Buzau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metalul Buzau
1-0
AWAY Sepsi
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metalul Buzau vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalul Buzau edged past Sepsi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Metalul Buzau made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Metalul Buzau had 47% of the ball to Sepsi's 53%, shots finished 4-4.

What was the final score of Metalul Buzau vs Sepsi?

Metalul Buzau 1-0 Sepsi in the Romania Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metalul Buzau vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metalul Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Metalul Buzau 37%, draw 35%, Sepsi 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metalul Buzau), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metalul Buzau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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