Hapoel Haifa 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 56%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.70/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.86
+92% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.0 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.16 xG 3.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.39 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
332 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa squeezed past Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Beer Sheva at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 49% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Hapoel Haifa 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 23%, draw 27%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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