Nublense 1-0 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.53/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.0 Crosses 12.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Copiapo
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.13 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
295 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
10.05.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
10.01.2021 Nublense Nublense 5-0 HT 3-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
10.09.2020 Copiapo Copiapo 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
03.09.2019 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 0-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-0
AWAY Copiapo
0.62 xG 0.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
267 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense nicked a narrow win over Copiapo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nublense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nublense had 47% of the ball to Copiapo's 53%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.62 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Nublense and 0.80 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Copiapo?

Nublense 1-0 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nublense 45%, draw 27%, Copiapo 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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