Inter Miami 2-3 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 Mar 2024

Inter Miami
2-3 HT 0-1
CF Montreal
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.3
X/2
11%
9.26
X/X
10%
5.3
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
11%
6.6
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.25/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.46
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
13.8 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
362 Passes 418
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.02.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.10.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-3 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.08.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.08.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
04.07.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Inter Miami 2-3 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-3
AWAY CF Montreal
2.77 xG 2.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
493 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal squeezed past Inter Miami 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Inter Miami had 60% of the ball to CF Montreal's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.77 to 2.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Miami.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?

Inter Miami 2-3 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 46%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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