Alvarado vs Patronato Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvarado v Patronato — Team-Based Signals
Alvarado vs Patronato Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Patronato
ARJPBN
6-0
HT 4-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
Alvarado 2-0 Patronato — Actual Match Statistics
Alvarado beat Patronato 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alvarado as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alvarado had 45% of the ball to Patronato's 55%, shots finished 4-5.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alvarado and 3.00 for Patronato.
What was the final score of Alvarado vs Patronato?
Alvarado 2-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Patronato?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 51%, draw 22%, Patronato 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvarado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.