Randers FC 0-1 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 11 Mar 2024

Randers FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Midtjylland
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Randers FC vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.67
1/2
12%
24.45
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
9%
7.75
X/2
16%
4.45
X/X
7%
4.77
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.6
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Randers FC v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.43/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.30
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
20.2 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Randers FC vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.11.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
15.07.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.04.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
31.10.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN

Randers FC 0-1 Midtjylland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
0-1
AWAY Midtjylland
1.52 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
351 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland squeezed past Randers FC 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Randers FC had 58% of the ball to Midtjylland's 42%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.52 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Randers FC and 2.00 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Midtjylland?

Randers FC 0-1 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 27%, draw 26%, Midtjylland 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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