Cumbaya 1-3 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Mar 2024

Cumbaya
1-3 HT 0-1
LDU Quito
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Cumbaya vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.4pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cumbaya v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.46/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.72
-42% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -52%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 86%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
13.7 Crosses 27.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.1

Cumbaya vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cumbaya
0W-1D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.41 xG 1.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
202 Passes 460
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
10.06.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
21.08.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
10.04.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

Cumbaya 1-3 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cumbaya
1-3
AWAY LDU Quito
1.31 xG 2.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
304 Passes 484
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cumbaya vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito beat Cumbaya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cumbaya had 40% of the ball to LDU Quito's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.31 to 2.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Cumbaya and 1.25 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Cumbaya vs LDU Quito?

Cumbaya 1-3 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 17%, draw 30%, LDU Quito 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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