ABD (K) 1-0 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 11 Mar 2024

ABD (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Brezilya (K)
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v Brezilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.03 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
06.03.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
03.08.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
31.07.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
25.10.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ
22.10.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ

ABD (K) 1-0 Brezilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-0
AWAY Brezilya (K)
0.29 xG 0.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
159 Passes 244
55% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) edged past Brezilya (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ABD (K) had 43% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 57%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.29 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ABD (K) and 1.17 for Brezilya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

ABD (K) 1-0 Brezilya (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 45%, draw 26%, Brezilya (K) 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →