11/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-0
Viking vs Flekkeroy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
23%
Draw
23%
26%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Viking v Flekkeroy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Viking
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Flekkeroy
EU Bookmakers 23%
-37% /
-37%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-18%
/
-38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
380 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Viking vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Viking nicked a narrow win over Flekkeroy 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Viking vs Flekkeroy?
Viking 2-1 Flekkeroy in the Friendlies on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Viking vs Flekkeroy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Viking 51%, draw 23%, Flekkeroy 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Viking)
✓ Over 2.5
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