Peterborough United U21 3-4 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 11 Mar 2024

Peterborough United U21
3-4 HT 2-1
Crewe Alexandra U21
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Peterborough United U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.7pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.8pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United U21 v Crewe Alexandra U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Peterborough United U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 squeezed past Peterborough United U21 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Peterborough United U21 at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

What was the final score of Peterborough United U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Peterborough United U21 3-4 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United U21 63%, draw 17%, Crewe Alexandra U21 20%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United U21) ✓ Over 2.5
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