Khooshe Talaee Saveh 0-2 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.84
2-3 Goals
48%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
7.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.0pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khooshe Talaee Saveh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.01/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.91
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khooshe Talaee Saveh
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.10.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 2-0 HT 0-0 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh IRANAZ
15.04.2023 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh 1-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
06.11.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-2 HT 1-1 Khooshe Talaee Saveh Khooshe Talaee Saveh IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Khooshe Talaee Saveh vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi beat Khooshe Talaee Saveh 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Khooshe Talaee Saveh and 1.33 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Khooshe Talaee Saveh vs Fajr Sepasi?

Khooshe Talaee Saveh 0-2 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khooshe Talaee Saveh vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Khooshe Talaee Saveh 25%, draw 28%, Fajr Sepasi 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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