Wisla Plock 2-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.91/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.19
+29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
06.03.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 3-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
13.09.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
28.06.2017 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna HAZ
06.05.2017 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 1-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
08.04.2017 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 2-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Gornik Leczna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 44% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 56%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.50 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna?

Wisla Plock 2-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 45%, draw 28%, Gornik Leczna 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →