Warta Poznan 0-1 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.16
X/2
7%
7.59
X/X
10%
3.85
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
6.4
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
1.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.70
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lodzki KS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.90 xG 0.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
168 Passes 450
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 18
4 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.56 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
353 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS edged past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Warta Poznan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 58% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 42%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.56 to 0.55 — on chances, Warta Poznan could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 42%, draw 28%, Lodzki KS 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Warta Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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