Otelul Galati 1-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2024

Otelul Galati
1-1 HT 0-1
CSMS Iaşi
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 40% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.8pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Otelul Galati v CSMS Iaşi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.13/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-3D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 1-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
18.03.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
25.08.2014 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
03.12.2012 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-3 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
22.07.2012 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM

Otelul Galati 1-1 CSMS Iaşi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati and CSMS Iaşi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Otelul Galati at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 56% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 44%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.00 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Otelul Galati 1-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 41%, draw 30%, CSMS Iaşi 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Otelul Galati), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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