Mladost Novi Sad 0-1 FK Radnicki Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Novi Sad The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Radnicki Novi Beograd The Market 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Novi Sad
0-1
AWAY FK Radnicki Novi Beograd
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Novi Sad vs FK Radnicki Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Radnicki Novi Beograd nicked a narrow win over Mladost Novi Sad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; FK Radnicki Novi Beograd found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mladost Novi Sad had 62% of the ball to FK Radnicki Novi Beograd's 38%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Mladost Novi Sad vs FK Radnicki Novi Beograd?

Mladost Novi Sad 0-1 FK Radnicki Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Novi Sad vs FK Radnicki Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Novi Sad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mladost Novi Sad 40%, draw 25%, FK Radnicki Novi Beograd 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mladost Novi Sad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mladost Novi Sad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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