Gaziantep FK 2-0 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Mar 2024

Gaziantep FK
2-0 HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 36% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.23
1/2
11%
26.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
13%
6.88
X/2
15%
4.48
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.86
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.26/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.28
+21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.0 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 449
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
25.12.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.01.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.08.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.03.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2020 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-0
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.11 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
225 Passes 356
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK got the better of Beşiktaş 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gaziantep FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 41% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 59%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.17 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş?

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 29%, draw 31%, Beşiktaş 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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