Inverness CT 4-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
11%
23.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 34% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
44%
-15.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
0.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.13
-45% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.0 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
28.09.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.09.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT cruised past Stenhousemuir 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Inverness CT made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inverness CT and 0.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT 4-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 29%, draw 34%, Stenhousemuir 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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