Trans Narva 4-3 Viimsi MRJK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Viimsi MRJK EU Bookmakers 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.33
-26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Viimsi MRJK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Viimsi MRJK Viimsi MRJK 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva edged past Viimsi MRJK 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK?

Trans Narva 4-3 Viimsi MRJK in the Estonia - Cup on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Viimsi MRJK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 65%, draw 20%, Viimsi MRJK 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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