Samgurali vs Gareji Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Gareji — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali 3-1 Gareji — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali got the better of Gareji 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Samgurali had 43% of the ball to Gareji's 57%, shots finished 6-8.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Gareji?
Samgurali 3-1 Gareji in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Gareji?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 42%, draw 33%, Gareji 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.