Ballinamallard United 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2025

Ballinamallard United
0-1
Harland & Wolff Welders
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.21
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
8%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-11.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Harland & Wolff Welders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 58%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.76/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.83
+44% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
17.08.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 HT 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.01.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-0 HT 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
16.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 0-2 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
05.08.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 HT 2-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders edged past Ballinamallard United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.67 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ballinamallard United 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 33%, draw 24%, Harland & Wolff Welders 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders)
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