MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-0
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü edged past GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 65% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 35%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 45%, draw 33%, GMG Kastamonuspor 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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