Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Apr 2024

Plymouth Parkway
0-1 HT 0-1
Salisbury
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Plymouth Parkway vs Salisbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
28%
+12.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Parkway v Salisbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 51%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.77/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.49
+93% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Plymouth Parkway vs Salisbury Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
13.11.2021 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury squeezed past Plymouth Parkway 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Salisbury found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 0.75 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Salisbury?

Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Salisbury in the England - Non League Premier on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 40%, draw 22%, Salisbury 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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