Al Ain 2-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.71/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.51
-15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
25.3 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 465
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.09.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.05.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 5-0 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
08.03.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
01.03.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
20.11.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-5 HT 1-3 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
2-2
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.18 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain and Al Jazira Abu Dhabi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ain had 49% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ain and 1.00 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Ain 2-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 45%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →