Pachuca 2-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.80/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.92
+37% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
23.1 Crosses 8.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CS Herediano
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.49 xG 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 6
530 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
45 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-5 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2-1
AWAY CS Herediano
1.20 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
289 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca nicked a narrow win over CS Herediano 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pachuca had 52% of the ball to CS Herediano's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.20 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs CS Herediano?

Pachuca 2-1 CS Herediano in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 64%, draw 22%, CS Herediano 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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11 Apr 2024
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