Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.01
+84% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.12.2023 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-3 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank edged past Awassa Kenema 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 55% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 45%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 49%, draw 24%, Awassa Kenema 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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