Xelaju MC 4-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 11 Apr 2024

Xelaju MC
4-1 HT 1-0
Achuapa
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Xelaju MC vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xelaju MC v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.52/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.37
-6% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Xelaju MC vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
01.12.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
13.11.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 6-1 HT 5-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
06.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.11.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC swept aside Achuapa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Xelaju MC 4-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 59%, draw 22%, Achuapa 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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