Toten 1-3 Elverum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
9%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.3pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-17.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toten EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Elverum EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
223 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toten
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Elverum
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.10.2022 Elverum Elverum 3-0 HT 2-0 Toten Toten NOR4
28.05.2022 Toten Toten 1-3 HT 1-1 Elverum Elverum NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toten
1-3
AWAY Elverum
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Toten vs Elverum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elverum saw off Toten 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elverum as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Toten had 35% of the ball to Elverum's 65%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Elverum led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Toten and 3.00 for Elverum.

What was the final score of Toten vs Elverum?

Toten 1-3 Elverum in the Norway - NM Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toten vs Elverum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elverum win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Toten 18%, draw 21%, Elverum 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elverum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elverum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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