Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
292 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.07.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
06.03.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
05.09.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.04.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac saw off Novi Pazar 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 48% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 52%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 2.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 32%, draw 23%, Novi Pazar 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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