Shabab Al Ordon 5-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ordon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.13/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.22
+5% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ordon
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 0-2 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
19.05.2024 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon 4-0 HT 2-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
13.12.2023 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
06.10.2022 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon 1-1 HT 0-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
14.05.2022 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 3-2 HT 2-1 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ordon
5-1
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ordon vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ordon swept aside Moghayer Al Sarhan 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shabab Al Ordon as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shabab Al Ordon had 50% of the ball to Moghayer Al Sarhan's 50%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ordon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Shabab Al Ordon and 1.00 for Moghayer Al Sarhan.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ordon vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Shabab Al Ordon 5-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ordon vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ordon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ordon 54%, draw 19%, Moghayer Al Sarhan 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ordon), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ordon) ✓ BTTS Yes
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