IK Oddevold 1-3 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
17%
7.14
X/2
19%
4.61
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.91
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.66/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-51% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
1-3
AWAY Kalmar
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar got the better of IK Oddevold 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 46% of the ball to Kalmar's 54%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Kalmar?

IK Oddevold 1-3 Kalmar in the Sweden - Superettan on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 32%, draw 27%, Kalmar 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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