Nacka Iliria 1-1 Viggbyholms IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Apr 2025

Nacka Iliria
1-1 HT 1-0
Viggbyholms IK
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2025

Nacka Iliria vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacka Iliria v Viggbyholms IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Viggbyholms IK EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.68/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.49
-12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Viggbyholms IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria and Viggbyholms IK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Viggbyholms IK?

Nacka Iliria 1-1 Viggbyholms IK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Viggbyholms IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 41%, draw 27%, Viggbyholms IK 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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