Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.4 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
204 Passes 282
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
16.03.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0-1
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.01 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
341 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) squeezed past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Essen-Schönebeck (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 56% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 44%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Essen-Schönebeck (K) and 0.50 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-1 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 42%, draw 26%, Werder Bremen (K) 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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