PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.91
Over
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.72/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.71
+6% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSS Sleman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.11.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-1 HT 0-0 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor
2-1
AWAY PSS Sleman
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSBS Biak Numfor nicked a narrow win over PSS Sleman 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSBS Biak Numfor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSBS Biak Numfor had 59% of the ball to PSS Sleman's 41%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSS Sleman?

PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSBS Biak Numfor vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSBS Biak Numfor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSBS Biak Numfor 48%, draw 25%, PSS Sleman 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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