Casric Stars 1-1 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casric Stars
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Baroka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Baroka Baroka 0-0 HT 0-0 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
29.09.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
05.02.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 2-1 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
09.11.2022 Baroka Baroka 1-2 HT 1-2 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
POST-MATCH Casric Stars vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casric Stars and Baroka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Casric Stars at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casric Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Casric Stars and 0.75 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Casric Stars vs Baroka?

Casric Stars 1-1 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casric Stars vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Casric Stars 44%, draw 31%, Baroka 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casric Stars), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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