Besat Kermanshah 0-1 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.83
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Besat Kermanshah vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi squeezed past Besat Kermanshah 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Besat Kermanshah vs Fajr Sepasi?

Besat Kermanshah 0-1 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Besat Kermanshah vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Besat Kermanshah 25%, draw 30%, Fajr Sepasi 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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