Al Salmiyah 3-2 Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sahel EU Bookmakers 20%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-53% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sahel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.02.2023 Sahel 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
08.12.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 0-1 Sahel KUVPK
08.09.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 1-0 Sahel KUV
11.05.2021 Sahel 3-5 HT 3-4 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
10.03.2021 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-1 HT 0-0 Sahel KUV
22.12.2020 Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Salmiyah
3-2
AWAY Sahel
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah squeezed past Sahel 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Salmiyah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Salmiyah had 56% of the ball to Sahel's 44%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Salmiyah and 1.17 for Sahel.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Sahel?

Al Salmiyah 3-2 Sahel in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 48%, draw 31%, Sahel 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Salmiyah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✗ BTTS No
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