Ayacucho FC 0-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.52/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.1 Crosses 18.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 226
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
01.04.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 3-2 HT 1-2 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
25.09.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
30.04.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-3 HT 1-2 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
09.10.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
28.10.2019 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
0-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.45 xG 0.58
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
403 Passes 179
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca squeezed past Ayacucho FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ayacucho FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 65% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 35%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.45 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayacucho FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ayacucho FC and 1.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Ayacucho FC 0-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 46%, draw 28%, UTC Cajamarca 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayacucho FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayacucho FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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