Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 29%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
0.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.17
-85% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL2
16.04.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 4-1 HT 3-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
11.09.2022 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-3 HT 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
22.11.2019 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1-1
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko and Chojniczanka Chojnice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 57% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 43%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 1.50 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 42%, draw 28%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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