Zlate Moravce 1-0 Pohronie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohronie EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.80/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.95
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pohronie
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 265
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Pohronie Pohronie 2-0 HT 1-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK2
14.05.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-3 HT 1-1 Pohronie Pohronie SLVK
05.03.2022 Pohronie Pohronie 0-1 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
27.11.2021 Pohronie Pohronie 0-2 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
20.08.2021 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohronie Pohronie SLVK
31.10.2020 Pohronie Pohronie 2-2 HT 1-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
1-0
AWAY Pohronie
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Pohronie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce edged past Pohronie 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zlate Moravce as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 45% of the ball to Pohronie's 55%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zlate Moravce had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zlate Moravce and 1.17 for Pohronie.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Pohronie?

Zlate Moravce 1-0 Pohronie in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Pohronie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 54%, draw 24%, Pohronie 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zlate Moravce) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✗ Over 2.5
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